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2014年第9周山东畜产品市场价格行情分析

放大字体  缩小字体 发布日期:2014-03-17  浏览次数:82273
内容摘要:一、 生猪价格 弱势下滑 第9周(2月24日-3月2日),据对山东全省25个集贸市场价格定点监测,本周活猪价格为11.61元/公斤,环比下降2.76%,同比下降17.54%。 猪肉 价格为21.64元/公斤,环比下降2.13%,同比下降13.78%。 本周全国出栏肉猪平均价格(瘦肉型、良杂
  一、生猪价格弱势下滑
  第9周(2月24日-3月2日),据对山东全省25个集贸市场价格定点监测,本周活猪价格为11.61元/公斤,环比下降2.76%,同比下降17.54%。猪肉价格为21.64元/公斤,环比下降2.13%,同比下降13.78%。
  本周全国出栏肉猪平均价格(瘦肉型、良杂、土杂猪的均价)继续下跌,从上周的11.67元/公斤跌至11.31元/公斤,同比下跌16.1%,连续第6周低于12元/公斤,瘦肉型猪已跌至11.7元/公斤。
  生猪价格仍然呈现弱势下滑的态势。主要的原因还是供大于求,据某大型猪场反映,50头以上的猪场都在坚持,可以看出目前还没有大量淘汰母猪的迹象。相对于生猪价格而言,不少养殖户反馈猪肉价格还算坚挺,毛-白差现在基本达到9.2元/公斤,中间区间有拉大的空间,说明在生猪价格、猪肉消费双重低迷的眼下,屠宰流通等下游产业单位利益空间有所扩大。望养殖场户能及时调整母猪群结构,淘汰低产母猪,早日走出亏损。
  第9周(2月24日-3月2日),仔猪价格为16.85元/公斤,环比下降1.52%,同比下降6.75%。
  二、鸡蛋价格跌幅放缓 近期价格有望恢复理性区间
  第9周(2月24日-3月2日),据对山东全省25个集贸市场价格定点监测,本周山东省鸡蛋平均价格为8.02元/公斤,同比下降7.92%,环比下降2.43%。
  据了解,由于目前局部受疫情等因素影响,蛋鸡存栏减少,同时前期持续低迷的补栏造成当前存栏减少现象开始显现,局部地区蛋价止跌回涨;但整体看来,鸡蛋供应缺口不大,同时近期无利好因素大幅刺激蛋价,因而预计蛋价上涨幅度有限,只是恢复到理性区间。淘汰鸡方面,随着越来越多的人关注到H7N9对家禽业的影响,正面宣传不断增加;同时近期南方地区新增病例减少,消费者抵触心理减缓,鸡价震荡上扬;但短期内终端消费难以恢复,因而预计淘汰鸡价格将缓慢震荡上涨。
  三、年内肉鸡市场前景暗淡 近期价格仍将震荡下调
  第9周(2月24日-3月2日),据对山东全省25个集贸市场价格定点监测,本周山东省活鸡平均价格为9.10元/公斤,同比下降10.52%,环比下降0.89%。
  受H7N9时间冲击,多数专家认为年内市场前景暗淡。目前屠宰场产品走货仍然低迷,加之开工受限,鸡价持续下调;另因猪肉价格持续下跌,肉类产品低迷,暂无利好因素刺激,预计近期鸡价持续弱势震荡。肉雏鸡方面,近期苗价持续上涨,鸡苗成本增加,养户补栏较谨慎,而随鸡苗产量渐增,苗价上涨受限,上涨幅度缩小。当前处于补栏季节,近期苗价仍跟随鸡价走势。
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